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Research Reports & Briefs

Extending Fiber Closer to the Home: An Analysis of Telco Fiber Deployment Strategies

December 2004 - 54 pages

Mitchell Shapiro - Senior Consultant, Broadband Advisory Services

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Examines the current status of FTTP deployments and analyzes the strategies, costs and market prospects of FTTP and other fiber-rich architectures being developed and deployed by ILECs.
INTRODUCTION & EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

I: FTTH DEPLOYMENTS AND PROJECTIONS

A. Fiber Deployments Shifting from Small Providers to Big Telcos
B. Fiber-Deep Technologies Could Reach Nearly 50% of Homes by 2010

II: FTTP ARCHITECTURES

A. Passive Optical Networks
B. PON Vendors
C. Passive vs. Active Networks

III: RBOC FIBER DEPLOYMENT STRATEGIES

A. Verizon’s FiOS: Fiber to the Home
1. Deployment Plans and Costs
2. FiOS Vendors
3. FiOS Services
4. The Need for Franchises?

B. SBC: FTTN + Microsoft IPTV
1. FTTN: Faster and Cheaper?
2. Lightspeed Vendors
3. Targeting High-Value Customers
4. Cost-Savings Expected
5. Enough Capacity?

C. BellSouth: ADSL2+ and Pair-Bonding
1. Still Cautious
2. Sticking with FTTC for Greenfields

D. Comparing RBOC Strategies
1. Cost and Timetable
2. Technology Risks
3. Verizon’s Babbio: Copper Won’t Cut It

IV. FIBER IN CABLE’S COMPETITIVE CALCULUS
No press release was issued for this Report.
Mitchell Shapiro

Mitchell Shapiro, a Senior Consultant for BAS, has been analyzing media and telecom markets for more than 17 years. He has authored numerous in-depth reports for Pike & Fischer on competitive dynamics, vendor shares and market growth in the broadband industry, including studies on the high-speed Internet pricing, the market for municipal broadband services and strategies for deploying fiber-optic networks. He also regularly tracks the financial performance and broadband initiatives of the regional Bell operating companies. Mitch previously served as senior vice president at Probe Research, where he was responsible for the company's tracking and forecasts of broadband network, service and CPE markets. He has also served as a senior consultant with Pangrac & Associates, a broadband engineering and strategic consulting firm, and as an analyst with Paul Kagan Associates, where he tracked technology trends and equipment markets in the cable and cellular industries. He holds a B.A. in Economics from the University of Michigan and an M.A. in Telecommunications from Michigan State University.

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